31 Comments
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Nurse Valle's avatar

I made a trade when there was pullback to the 50 EMA. Lets say you are going short. When you enter it goes into a tight range. In that instance to you usually like to let it play out or just stop the trade as it has no direction?

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Nepali Trader's avatar

I will look for a clear edge before I enter and once I do I let it be. Like I said before: you don’t want to mess around with your position once live, your mind is at an emotional suboptimal state & only bad decisions are made then.

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Nurse Valle's avatar

Yes as it goes against me I see the negative thoughts trying to tell me stuff like. “Well that was a dumb move.” But also read your sharing about the randomness and the psychology of trading. So now I am saying decent set up that did not work out. The long term odds are in my favor and just let that stay at the top of my thinking. 😊

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Nurse Valle's avatar

If I had been more patient I would not have taken the trade until I saw that the ONL was tested. In this case it went through the ONL and hit my stop. I guess when there is a loss it can have you guessing, did I really have an edge?

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Nepali Trader's avatar

You have to know what your edge is. My edge is mentioned in this article. You have to know it like the back of your hand.

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Nurse Valle's avatar

I did get stopped out. That is ok. I stuck with the plan. I will not revenge trade. The only think I am wondering is what that a really good edge? I entered the NQ at 9:06 as it pulled back to the EMA. I thoght once in the trade I was wrong because I should have let it retest the ONL before I got in the trade.

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Nepali Trader's avatar

I only trade when the market opens at 9.30am and almost never before 10.00 am. You want to let the market show you its hand by making a move in one direction before entering. This requires some patience & experience.

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Nepali Trader's avatar

Absolutely, trading is purely psychological, the trader is the ultimate edge in his trading. It’s an internal skill.

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Nurse Valle's avatar

Hi, An R:R of 3:1 with a 50 point stop loss would mean you would have to hit 150 points for your reward. Is that correct? Do you have an exit strategy if say you are up 20 points and it starts to pull back or hit a resistance level and you do not want to give back those 20 points. Do you let the trade just play out until the end of the day? I am unclear on this. Grateful for you help. K

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Nepali Trader's avatar

Yes, when I enter a trade I am looking for a 150 point reward, it doesn't get there on some/most days so I exit with discretion depending on price levels which I mention on this post, slow down in vol or by observing price action. I do not over-manage a trade: moving stops, getting sucked into the movement of ticks and checking PnL during a live trade is a death sentence for daytraders. It's only one trade amongst thousands you'll take in your career, just let it be.

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Nurse Valle's avatar

Your replies are awsome. Full of detail. Nonjudemental. Helpful and hopeful. Good stuff. I am encouraged again to apply what you are teaching. Thanks.

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Nurse Valle's avatar

I feel like I have been often holding my breath during my trades and now I am much more relaxed. I am going to try to watch the ES closely in regards to how it can be a tool to increase the odds of my edge. :)

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Nurse Valle's avatar

I made one more trade when the NQ came back to the 50EMA. I went long and I made most of the money back that did not work out on the first trade. Zero emotions. I said to myself that I have an edge on this trade. I executed it and let it play out. The time factor was against me as it was a late day trade but I am starting to feel more calmer during the trade and thus more aware of how it is all random, but I took a shot with the edge and it worked. Either way I was not attached to the outcome. Thanks again.

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Nepali Trader's avatar

yes, that is the final hurdle to cross in trading: not being attached to outcome and remaining calm. If you can do this all the time while deliberately executing your edge, you'll be allright. Give this a read if you haven't: https://nepalitrader.substack.com/p/stages-of-a-trader

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Courtney's avatar

Do you ever trade overnight or just during regular hours?

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Nepali Trader's avatar

Only regular hours. The vol ON is super thin usually.

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Suraj's avatar

Blog post on setting the chart with drawings will be a nice read thanks

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Nepali Trader's avatar

Yes. NY time: 9.30am to 4pm. Real trading hours & 6pm to 9.29am Overnight hours

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Suraj's avatar

Looks like mechanical indeed mind sharing the rules

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Nepali Trader's avatar

its discretionary. 50 point stop with a 150 point profit target. the other rules i explain in my post.

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Suraj's avatar

Do you have any specific time for entry

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Suraj's avatar

Hello sir specific time in the sense do you trade any specific period in a day like London and New York kill zones ..and may I know what is overnight high and low which time I should be marking in the chart... thanks

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Nepali Trader's avatar

All time zones are set to NYC

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Suraj's avatar

Thank you sir so you start from 09:30am utc-4

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Nepali Trader's avatar

No, read the post again. I answer all questions.

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Suraj's avatar

A video content would be really appreciable if possible

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Suraj's avatar

What’s your fixed stop loss...thank you

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Nepali Trader's avatar

its 50 points in the NQ futures.

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TehWeakestLink's avatar

Would you consider making a video on how you set this up on TOS , I’m trying to set it up but it only gives me a single bar when I add the tick chart or the MA is lagging (I understand it’s a lagging indicator)

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Nepali Trader's avatar

sorry, just saw this. if you are on thinkorswim it's simple enough. just setup a 4181 tick chart, you'll figure it out easily.

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Dying_Star's avatar

As always good content and learning information for those starting up and seeking to learn more about futures. Thanks for your generosity.

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